DISSERTATION ABSTRACT

Incorporating Regret in a Multiple Reference-Point Model for Conceptualizing Satisfaction and Predicting Termination in an Exchange Relationship

This dissertation provides a conceptualization of the satisfaction construct that is broader and more consistent with the customer satisfaction literature. This new conceptualization of satisfaction is applied in a marketing channels setting and it includes the notion of regret from the Behavioral Decision literature as another component of affective consequences in decision making. This notion of regret represents the difference between what a particular outcome is and what this outcome could have been. Therefore, by building on the expectation-disconfirmation model of customer satisfaction, a new model is presented which incorporates both performance-based satisfaction and regret as the two affective consequences of relational satisfaction. This model is unique because it incorporates two reference points, one for calculating performance-based satisfaction and another for calculating regret.

In addition, this dissertation investigates the case where there are more than two alternatives in the choice set. This is very important since most real-life situations involve multiple alternatives. Since regret is based on the difference between what is and what could have been, only one of the foregone alternatives will serve as a reference point in calculating regret.

This dissertation consists of two studies. The first study examines the case where there are only two choice alternatives. By manipulating the type of disconfirmation experienced (positive versus negative) and the level of performance of the foregone alternative compared to the chosen alternative (better versus worse), a 2x2 between subjects factorial design was constructed. The study consisted of 94 MBA students that served as subjects. The results support the hypotheses proposed in this dissertation. Thus, regret is an important variable in measuring the affective consequence of an exchange relationship and it is influenced by the comparison between the chosen and the foregone alternative. In addition, regret plays an important and significant role in decisions that affect the future of interorganizational exchange relationships. The second study replicates the first and, in addition, examines the case where there are more than two alternatives in the choice set. The study consisted of 137 MBA and EMBA students that served as subjects. The results support the hypotheses proposed in this dissertation. In addition, when the choice set is comprised of more than two alternatives people tend to select as a reference point the foregone alternative that neutralizes the level of regret experienced.

Several theoretical and managerial implications follow from the results of this dissertation. These include: 1) the introduction of another variable in measuring the level of satisfaction derived from an exchange relationship, 2) the development of a multiple reference-point model to measure relational satisfaction, 3) an understanding of the selection of a reference point in managerial decision making, 4) directing managerial interest to another factor influencing the evaluation stage, 5) delineating ways for more effective management of the choice set of a business or a channel partner, and 6) creating an interest for managers to take a more proactive role during the choice of the selection of the reference point by their partner firm.

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